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The effects of climate variability on the risk of enteric diseases

36 months
Approved budget:
Dr Alice Hyun Min Kim
Professor James Stanley
Professor Simon Hales
Professor Michael Baker
Health issue:
Climate change
Proposal type:
Emerging Researcher First Grant
Lay summary
Enteric disease is a common seasonal illness which disproportionately affects Māori and Pasifika. Its risk is expected to rise with climate change, and we need evidence specific for Aotearoa New Zealand. We will conduct an epidemiological investigation of the most common enteric diseases and examine the effects of seasonal patterns and meteorological factors on hospital admission rates using time series analysis methods. We will explore methods for predicting risks based on long-term climate projections which will inform the methodology for future research. The outcomes of this research will help inform areas to target for prevention strategies, forecast health risks and system requirements for responding to seasonal risks of enteric diseases. This study will also identify any differences in burden borne by Māori and Pasifika. The proposed study will advance knowledge, strengthen collaborative relationships, and build research capabilities for future research on climate change and health outcomes.